Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 45.507408 52.635614 60.001925 68.145779 76.861469 85.876897 95.875089
2026-02-01 34.259515 44.227464 55.100682 67.683755 81.699141 96.701930 113.852744
2026-02-08 27.756555 39.146186 52.099532 67.590154 85.316696 104.714942 127.308856
2026-02-15 22.446611 34.607081 49.008353 66.755185 87.548104 110.727230 138.139243
2026-02-22 19.174840 32.038278 47.818743 67.753077 91.549993 118.458539 150.647020
2026-03-01 16.652452 30.070732 47.083262 69.054024 95.708364 126.211173 163.044892
2026-03-08 13.640562 27.065264 44.755273 68.170914 97.076914 130.576717 171.426245
2026-03-15 10.872475 24.022659 42.098677 66.645306 97.480943 133.661118 178.194763
2026-03-22 10.045194 23.718672 42.993036 69.551578 103.239094 143.032000 192.259698
2026-03-29 8.883455 22.744272 42.873168 71.075185 107.236622 150.269506 203.798664
2026-04-05 7.258527 20.790985 41.238516 70.502518 108.534268 154.204952 211.393915
2026-04-12 5.875174 19.018689 39.714845 69.963942 109.788115 158.022316 218.796619
2026-04-19 4.878189 17.791349 38.918316 70.376605 112.257303 163.351721 228.065046
2026-04-26 3.801924 16.190185 37.435055 69.763794 113.353350 166.966598 235.262056
2026-05-03 2.995257 14.949921 36.400268 69.694426 115.094283 171.331811 243.327263
2026-05-10 2.194807 13.480520 34.873466 68.840612 115.743896 174.298211 249.665685
2026-05-17 1.786106 12.857114 34.677231 69.856277 118.836163 180.292767 259.671125
2026-05-24 1.472478 12.394276 34.709912 71.178974 122.321865 186.772765 270.266705
2026-05-31 0.978226 11.145064 33.279479 70.281043 122.784603 189.417160 276.149555
2026-06-07 0.551738 9.763864 31.473390 68.729574 122.298123 190.813156 280.462308
2026-06-14 0.514928 9.985512 32.634895 71.684880 127.961707 200.036987 294.428658
2026-06-21 0.396392 9.737817 32.885751 73.233821 131.693525 206.797123 305.357720
2026-06-28 0.203829 8.826081 31.784575 72.651662 132.463963 209.751502 311.566771